False sense of confidence

1. Groupthink: The Predictability of Consensus (Explored)
2. Overconfidence Bias Vs. Dunning-Kruger Effect (Explored)
3. Expertise Overestimation: A Common Pitfall (Uncovered)
4. Illusory Superiority Vs. Dunning-Kruger Effect (Explored)
5. Mean Variance Optimization Gotchas (Hidden Dangers)
6. Risk Premium Gotchas (Hidden Dangers)
7. Survivorship Bias Vs. Halo Effect (Compared)
8. Win Probability Gotchas (Hidden Dangers)